St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-03 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (SO)

Win Probability

LAK: 57.8%

STL: 42.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.44

STL: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

LAK

J. Quick

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	38	34	4	89.5%	5.18	4	1.18
STL	Jordan Binnington	38	33	5	86.8%	6.68	6	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • LAK at home vs STL: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.38
1	STL	18	1	1.25
2	LAK	12	1	0.88
2	STL	16	1	0.95
3	LAK	18	2	1.81
3	STL	14	0	0.92
4	LAK	9	0	1.12
4	STL	1	0	0.10
5	LAK	4	3	2.49
5	STL	4	2	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7