Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-04 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 53.3%

WSH: 46.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.97

WSH: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	42	38	4	90.5%	2.76	0	-1.24
WSH	V. Vanecek	33	28	5	84.8%	2.15	1	-2.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • FLA at home vs WSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.71
1	WSH	17	0	0.98
2	FLA	15	1	1.02
2	WSH	22	0	1.51
3	FLA	6	0	0.39
3	WSH	10	0	0.28
4	FLA	2	0	0.03
4	WSH	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9