Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-11-04 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

SEA: 51.5%

BUF: 48.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.10

BUF: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

BUF

D. Tokarski

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	21	19	2	90.5%	1.04	1	-0.96
BUF	D. Tokarski	38	33	5	86.8%	3.47	1	-1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs BUF: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	22	0	1.27
1	BUF	8	1	0.41
2	SEA	19	0	1.04
2	BUF	8	0	0.35
3	SEA	9	1	1.16
3	BUF	12	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4