Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-05 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

WPG: 62.9%

CHI: 37.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.15

CHI: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	18	17	1	94.4%	1.30	0	0.30
CHI	M. Fleury	33	28	5	84.8%	3.41	1	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	7	1	1.03
1	CHI	10	0	0.63
2	WPG	15	0	1.14
2	CHI	7	0	0.23
3	WPG	19	0	1.24
3	CHI	7	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8