New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-11-05 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 46.3%

NYR: 53.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.19

NYR: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

EDM

M. Koskinen

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	25	20	5	80.0%	2.77	3	-2.23
NYR	A. Georgiev	39	33	6	84.6%	3.46	0	-2.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	0.94
1	NYR	12	0	0.64
2	EDM	15	0	1.02
2	NYR	14	3	1.83
3	EDM	20	0	1.24
3	NYR	8	0	0.31
4	EDM	4	0	0.27
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2