Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 51.4%

NSH: 48.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.13

NSH: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	28	25	3	89.3%	2.89	1	-0.11
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	26	2	92.9%	2.71	0	0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • VAN at home vs NSH: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	NSH
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	0.88
1	NSH	18	0	0.94
2	VAN	12	0	0.85
2	NSH	14	1	1.60
3	VAN	13	0	0.98
3	NSH	5	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1