New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-05 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 50.0%

NJD: 50.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.22

NJD: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

C. Petersen

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	23	21	2	91.3%	2.03	2	0.03
NJD	M. Blackwood	29	26	3	89.7%	2.16	0	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.66
1	NJD	12	1	0.77
2	LAK	10	0	0.54
2	NJD	10	0	0.42
3	LAK	15	0	0.70
3	NJD	11	1	0.84
4	LAK	2	0	0.26
4	NJD	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1