Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-06 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 49.1%

CAR: 50.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.76

CAR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	32	30	2	93.8%	3.57	2	1.57
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	27	5	84.4%	4.90	6	-0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • FLA at home vs CAR: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	1	1.29
1	CAR	11	0	0.44
2	FLA	14	2	1.33
2	CAR	19	2	1.67
3	FLA	13	3	2.29
3	CAR	17	0	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3