New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

WPG: 42.0%

NYI: 58.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.79

NYI: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	31	29	2	93.5%	4.59	3	2.59
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	24	24	0	100.0%	1.95	0	1.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.65
1	NYI	13	0	0.79
2	WPG	15	0	0.80
2	NYI	20	0	1.42
3	WPG	13	0	0.50
3	NYI	13	3	2.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2