Seattle Kraken at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-11-06 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 50.0%

SEA: 50.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.00

SEA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	31	27	4	87.1%	2.39	0	-1.61
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	22	17	5	77.3%	1.45	0	-3.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-09	SEA 5 - 0 ARI	SEA	SEA
2024-03-22	ARI 2 - 1 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-11-07	ARI 4 - 3 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-10	ARI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	ARI
2023-04-06	SEA 4 - 2 ARI	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ARI	11	0.48
1	SEA	13	0.86
2	ARI	10	0.52
2	SEA	11	0.39
3	ARI	8	0.45
3	SEA	19	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2