Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-11-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

DET: 59.4%

VGK: 40.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.00

VGK: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

DET

T. Greiss

VGK

L. Brossoit

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	T. Greiss	40	38	2	95.0%	4.51	3	2.51
VGK	L. Brossoit	30	25	5	83.3%	3.77	4	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs VGK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	VGK
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	7	1	0.77
1	VGK	16	1	1.34
2	DET	14	1	0.98
2	VGK	14	0	1.13
3	DET	15	2	2.02
3	VGK	23	2	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9