Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2021-11-07 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Nashville Predators (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 49.4%
NSH: 50.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.99
NSH: 3.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
K. Lankinen
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | CHI | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | K. Lankinen | 21 | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | 2.17 | 0 | 1.17 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 32 | 30 | 2 | 93.8% | 3.40 | 3 | 1.40 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs NSH: 2-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CHI 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | CHI |
| 2026-02-26 | NSH 4 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-10 | NSH 0 - 3 CHI | CHI | NSH |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-08 | NSH 3 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 15 | 1 | 0.91 |
| 1 | NSH | 9 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 2 | CHI | 13 | 1 | 0.86 |
| 2 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 3 | CHI | 15 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 4 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 4 | NSH | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.9
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