New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-07 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

MIN: 58.8%

NYI: 41.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.35

NYI: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	21	19	2	90.5%	1.80	1	-0.20
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	39	34	5	87.2%	4.46	4	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MIN at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	19	0	0.93
1	NYI	15	1	1.08
2	MIN	15	1	1.19
2	NYI	10	0	0.51
3	MIN	18	3	2.34
3	NYI	6	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2