Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-07 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

VAN: 52.7%

DAL: 47.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.26

DAL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

DAL

A. Khudobin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	28	25	3	89.3%	2.58	0	-0.42
DAL	A. Khudobin	36	30	6	83.3%	3.91	3	-2.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs DAL: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	1	1.28
1	DAL	15	0	0.83
2	VAN	19	1	1.46
2	DAL	9	0	0.70
3	VAN	11	1	1.17
3	DAL	12	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1