St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 49.2%

STL: 50.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.84

STL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	35	34	1	97.1%	2.98	0	1.98
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	23	4	85.2%	2.77	2	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	1	1.54
1	STL	13	0	0.97
2	ANA	9	0	0.43
2	STL	19	0	1.08
3	ANA	12	1	0.79
3	STL	17	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2