Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2021-11-08 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 49.5%
LAK: 50.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.00
LAK: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
J. Campbell
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | TOR | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | J. Campbell | 29 | 24 | 5 | 82.8% | 3.06 | 1 | -1.94 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 34 | 33 | 1 | 97.1% | 3.47 | 1 | 2.47 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • TOR at home vs LAK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | LAK 7 - 6 TOR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOR | 10 | 1 | 1.00 |
| 1 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 1.25 |
| 2 | TOR | 19 | 0 | 1.37 |
| 2 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 3 | TOR | 19 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 3 | LAK | 11 | 1 | 1.32 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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