Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-11-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 40.8%

FLA: 59.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.65

FLA: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	45	42	3	93.3%	4.86	0	1.86
FLA	Spencer Knight	18	14	4	77.8%	2.13	1	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NYR at home vs FLA: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	0	0.98
1	FLA	18	0	1.56
2	NYR	12	0	0.79
2	FLA	28	0	1.71
3	NYR	5	1	0.36
3	FLA	24	0	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5