Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2021-11-09 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 62.1%

LAK: 37.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.19

LAK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

MTL

J. Allen

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	34	31	3	91.2%	2.95	1	-0.05
LAK	C. Petersen	35	33	2	94.3%	3.58	1	1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	22	0	1.63
1	LAK	11	0	0.63
2	MTL	7	0	0.27
2	LAK	25	1	1.70
3	MTL	17	1	1.30
3	LAK	8	0	0.26
4	MTL	4	0	0.38
4	LAK	2	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2