Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-11-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DET: 55.3%

EDM: 44.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.92

EDM: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	33	31	2	93.9%	3.18	2	1.18
EDM	Stuart Skinner	39	35	4	89.7%	5.90	4	1.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs EDM: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	20	2	2.28
1	EDM	10	0	0.66
2	DET	19	1	1.85
2	EDM	11	2	1.23
3	DET	11	1	1.77
3	EDM	20	0	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9