Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 54.8%

ANA: 45.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.25

ANA: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

J. Halak

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	J. Halak	30	27	3	90.0%	2.17	0	-0.83
ANA	John Gibson	43	41	2	95.3%	3.49	0	1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VAN	18	1.00
1	ANA	9	0.36
2	VAN	19	0.95
2	ANA	9	0.53
3	VAN	16	1.05
3	ANA	12	0.96
4	VAN	4	0.48
4	ANA	3	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0