Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2021-11-10 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 54.7%

NSH: 45.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.25

NSH: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

DAL

B. Holtby

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	B. Holtby	22	18	4	81.8%	2.32	2	-1.68
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	25	2	92.6%	2.51	1	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	6	0	0.52
1	NSH	10	0	0.42
2	DAL	16	1	1.21
2	NSH	12	1	0.99
3	DAL	16	0	0.78
3	NSH	7	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8