Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-11-11 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 60.7%

NSH: 39.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.22

NSH: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	23	4	85.2%	2.41	0	-1.59
NSH	D. Rittich	36	33	3	91.7%	3.06	2	0.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • STL at home vs NSH: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	1	1.03
1	NSH	13	0	0.77
2	STL	17	1	1.03
2	NSH	15	0	0.85
3	STL	13	0	0.82
3	NSH	11	0	0.73
4	STL	2	0	0.17
4	NSH	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2