San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

WPG: 57.6%

SJS: 42.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.50

SJS: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	27	26	1	96.3%	2.36	1	1.36
SJS	J. Reimer	34	30	4	88.2%	5.69	1	1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs SJS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.26
1	SJS	15	0	0.60
2	WPG	19	0	1.37
2	SJS	14	1	0.71
3	WPG	22	1	3.07
3	SJS	15	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9