Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2021-11-12 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 48.3%
WSH: 51.7%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 1.75
WSH: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
WSH
I. Samsonov
| Stat | CBJ | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 28 | 24 | 4 | 85.7% | 1.89 | 0 | -2.11 |
| WSH | I. Samsonov | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 2.88 | 0 | -0.12 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CBJ 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | CBJ |
| 2025-12-07 | WSH 2 - 0 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-24 | WSH 5 - 1 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-10-24 | CBJ 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-13 | WSH 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | WSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 17 | 0 | 1.24 |
| 1 | WSH | 12 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 2 | CBJ | 16 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 2 | WSH | 11 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 3 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 3 | WSH | 14 | 0 | 0.70 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 4.6
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 1.7 - 2.9
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