Arizona Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-11-12 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

CHI: 52.8%

ARI: 47.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.06

ARI: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

CHI

M. Fleury

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	23	22	1	95.7%	2.34	1	1.34
ARI	S. Wedgewood	29	27	2	93.1%	3.70	3	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CHI at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	7	0	0.56
1	ARI	9	0	0.30
2	CHI	20	1	1.64
2	ARI	8	0	0.59
3	CHI	12	2	1.50
3	ARI	15	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1