Arizona Coyotes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2021-11-13 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 64.7%
ARI: 35.3%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.81
ARI: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
ARI
K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | NSH | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.891 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 3.67 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 23 | 22 | 1 | 95.7% | 1.71 | 0 | 0.71 |
| ARI | K. Vejmelka | 24 | 20 | 4 | 83.3% | 2.20 | 2 | -1.80 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs ARI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-28 | ARI 8 - 4 NSH | ARI | NSH |
| 2024-02-10 | NSH 5 - 4 ARI | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-01-20 | ARI 3 - 2 NSH | ARI | NSH |
| 2023-11-11 | NSH 5 - 7 ARI | ARI | NSH |
| 2023-03-09 | ARI 4 - 1 NSH | ARI | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 13 | 2 | 1.04 |
| 1 | ARI | 9 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 2 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 2 | ARI | 7 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 3 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 3 | ARI | 13 | 0 | 0.54 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
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