New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-11-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 36.0%

NJD: 64.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.78

NJD: 3.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

A. Georgiev

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	33	27	6	81.8%	5.59	4	-0.41
NJD	M. Blackwood	48	41	7	85.4%	7.06	8	0.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	0.68
1	NJD	15	0	0.81
2	NYR	18	1	1.20
2	NJD	9	0	0.65
3	NYR	14	2	0.93
3	NJD	13	1	0.96
4	NYR	8	0	0.64
4	NJD	1	0	0.18
5	NYR	7	4	3.61
5	NJD	7	3	3.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7