Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-11-14 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

STL: 49.4%

EDM: 50.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.98

EDM: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 55%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	27	5	84.4%	2.60	0	-2.40
EDM	M. Koskinen	39	35	4	89.7%	4.25	1	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	0	1.22
1	EDM	11	0	0.73
2	STL	21	1	1.78
2	EDM	15	0	0.91
3	STL	14	0	1.25
3	EDM	12	0	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0