Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-11-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CBJ: 52.7%

DET: 47.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.28

DET: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	27	24	3	88.9%	2.54	0	-0.46
DET	T. Greiss	38	33	5	86.8%	4.29	2	-0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs DET: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	DET
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	DET
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.66
1	DET	9	0	0.70
2	CBJ	22	1	2.12
2	DET	11	0	0.47
3	CBJ	14	1	1.51
3	DET	16	0	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9