New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

FLA: 72.6%

NYI: 27.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.84

NYI: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	28	27	1	96.4%	1.88	0	0.88
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	36	30	6	83.3%	3.13	1	-2.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYI: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	22	1	1.68
1	NYI	14	0	0.71
2	FLA	16	0	0.77
2	NYI	10	0	0.81
3	FLA	9	0	0.68
3	NYI	10	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0