Arizona Coyotes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 67.4%

ARI: 32.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.26

ARI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	23	20	3	87.0%	1.95	1	-1.05
ARI	S. Wedgewood	36	34	2	94.4%	2.63	0	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-02	ARI 4 - 1 STL	ARI	ARI
2023-11-22	ARI 5 - 6 STL	STL	ARI
2023-11-09	STL 2 - 1 ARI	STL	ARI
2023-10-19	STL 2 - 6 ARI	ARI	STL
2023-03-07	ARI 6 - 2 STL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	0	1.23
1	ARI	15	0	0.69
2	STL	10	0	0.52
2	ARI	12	0	0.76
3	STL	16	0	0.88
3	ARI	4	1	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9