Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VGK: 44.1%

CAR: 55.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.75

CAR: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

VGK

R. Lehner

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	R. Lehner	42	38	4	90.5%	4.05	4	0.05
CAR	A. Raanta	23	21	2	91.3%	2.55	2	0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs CAR: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	1	0.63
1	CAR	17	1	1.02
2	VGK	13	1	1.21
2	CAR	25	1	1.55
3	VGK	11	0	0.71
3	CAR	13	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3