Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-17 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 67.1%

WSH: 32.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.22

WSH: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

J. Quick

WSH

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	38	36	2	94.7%	2.89	1	0.89
WSH	I. Samsonov	34	34	0	100.0%	2.67	2	2.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	17	0	0.80
1	WSH	11	0	0.78
2	LAK	9	2	0.86
2	WSH	13	0	0.44
3	LAK	17	0	1.01
3	WSH	20	1	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9