Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-11-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 62.4%

CHI: 37.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 4.06

CHI: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 38%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	19	15	4	78.9%	2.31	2	-1.69
CHI	M. Fleury	33	31	2	93.9%	3.22	3	1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs CHI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	SEA
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	3	0	0.18
1	CHI	9	0	0.59
2	SEA	21	1	1.22
2	CHI	9	0	0.37
3	SEA	21	2	1.82
3	CHI	7	2	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.1 - 3.7