San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-11-18 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

STL: 59.5%

SJS: 40.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.43

SJS: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

STL

V. Husso

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	27	26	1	96.3%	2.61	0	1.61
SJS	J. Reimer	48	44	4	91.7%	4.41	0	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • STL at home vs SJS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	21	1.32
1	SJS	23	1.48
2	STL	27	2.28
2	SJS	13	0.81
3	STL	14	0.81
3	SJS	7	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2