Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-20 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

FLA: 53.6%

MIN: 46.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.42

MIN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	39	35	4	89.7%	3.52	3	-0.48
MIN	C. Talbot	37	32	5	86.5%	4.16	2	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	0	0.94
1	MIN	5	0	0.21
2	FLA	18	0	1.32
2	MIN	19	2	1.76
3	FLA	13	2	1.91
3	MIN	20	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0