Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2021-11-20 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 63.2%
CHI: 36.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.37
CHI: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA
CHI
K. Lankinen
| Stat | EDM | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.81 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | Stuart Skinner | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 2.42 | 0 | 0.42 |
| CHI | K. Lankinen | 33 | 28 | 5 | 84.8% | 2.46 | 0 | -2.54 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs CHI: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | EDM 3 - 1 CHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-01-12 | CHI 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-01 | EDM 3 - 2 CHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-05 | CHI 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-11 | CHI 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 18 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 1 | CHI | 21 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 2 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 3 | EDM | 12 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 3 | CHI | 12 | 0 | 0.90 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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