Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-20 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 57.4%

CAR: 42.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.06

CAR: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

LAK

C. Petersen

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	20	15	5	75.0%	2.02	1	-2.98
CAR	Frederik Andersen	43	39	4	90.7%	3.56	2	-0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs CAR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	LAK
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	1.38
1	CAR	9	0	0.57
2	LAK	13	2	1.06
2	CAR	16	1	1.37
3	LAK	26	0	1.12
3	CAR	4	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9