Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 75.3%

CHI: 24.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.33

CHI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	24	23	1	95.8%	1.98	0	0.98
CHI	M. Fleury	40	40	0	100.0%	3.34	1	3.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs CHI: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	1.23
1	CHI	8	0	0.54
2	VAN	22	0	1.18
2	CHI	8	0	0.60
3	VAN	12	1	0.93
3	CHI	14	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1