Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2021-11-22 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

BUF: 38.8%

CBJ: 61.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.92

CBJ: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

BUF

D. Tokarski

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	D. Tokarski	29	22	7	75.9%	3.37	2	-3.63
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	33	29	4	87.9%	3.13	2	-0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	2	1.51
1	CBJ	13	0	0.82
2	BUF	8	0	0.54
2	CBJ	18	0	1.10
3	BUF	20	0	1.08
3	CBJ	13	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5