Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.5%

WPG: 54.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.01

WPG: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 50%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	36	36	0	100.0%	3.14	2	3.14
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	29	3	90.6%	3.32	2	0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	1	1.28
1	WPG	19	1	1.33
2	CBJ	12	0	0.75
2	WPG	15	0	0.88
3	CBJ	14	1	1.29
3	WPG	14	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2