Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

COL: 57.2%

ANA: 42.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.05

ANA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

COL

D. Kuemper

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	26	24	2	92.3%	1.65	0	-0.35
ANA	John Gibson	36	31	5	86.1%	3.09	2	-1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs ANA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	0.61
1	ANA	13	0	0.54
2	COL	22	1	1.48
2	ANA	6	0	0.24
3	COL	10	1	1.00
3	ANA	18	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0