Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.3%

VAN: 46.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.05

VAN: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	41	39	2	95.1%	2.10	0	0.10
VAN	Thatcher Demko	21	17	4	81.0%	2.15	1	-1.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs VAN: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	VAN
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	4	0	0.33
1	VAN	16	0	0.54
2	CBJ	9	0	0.48
2	VAN	18	0	0.65
3	CBJ	17	1	1.35
3	VAN	19	0	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9