St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 49.6%

STL: 50.4%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.24

STL: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

K. Lankinen

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	25	23	2	92.0%	1.57	0	-0.43
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	24	3	88.9%	1.88	0	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs STL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CHI	14	1.01
1	STL	18	0.91
2	CHI	13	0.46
2	STL	7	0.28
3	CHI	11	0.27
3	STL	6	0.35
4	CHI	1	0.14
4	STL	1	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5