New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 47.9%

NJD: 52.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.07

NJD: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NJD

J. Bernier

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	25	23	2	92.0%	1.92	0	-0.08
NJD	J. Bernier	31	27	4	87.1%	3.07	1	-0.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • NSH at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NSH 2 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-01-29	NJD 3 - 2 NSH	NJD	NSH
2025-02-23	NSH 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NSH
2024-11-25	NJD 5 - 2 NSH	NJD	NJD
2024-04-07	NJD 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.97
1	NJD	6	0	0.20
2	NSH	18	0	1.11
2	NJD	10	0	0.49
3	NSH	13	1	1.00
3	NJD	22	0	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2