Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 7 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

MIN: 56.6%

WPG: 43.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.33

WPG: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

MIN

C. Talbot

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	31	30	1	96.8%	2.46	1	1.46
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	38	31	7	81.6%	2.90	1	-4.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • MIN at home vs WPG: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.63
1	WPG	21	1	1.12
2	MIN	24	1	1.74
2	WPG	8	0	0.69
3	MIN	9	0	0.53
3	WPG	17	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 7 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6