Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

ANA: 55.3%

OTT: 44.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.25

OTT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

A. Stolarz

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	34	34	0	100.0%	3.19	2	3.19
OTT	Anton Forsberg	33	29	4	87.9%	3.16	0	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	1.27
1	OTT	15	1	0.79
2	ANA	13	0	1.04
2	OTT	20	0	1.61
3	ANA	17	0	0.84
3	OTT	10	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9