Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2021-11-27 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 61.4%
SEA: 38.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.44
SEA: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
SEA
C. Driedger
| Stat | FLA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.000 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 0.00 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Spencer Knight | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 2.91 | 2 | -1.09 |
| SEA | C. Driedger | 34 | 33 | 1 | 97.1% | 2.83 | 0 | 1.83 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • FLA at home vs SEA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | FLA 5 - 4 SEA | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-15 | SEA 6 - 2 FLA | SEA | FLA |
| 2025-02-22 | FLA 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | FLA |
| 2024-12-10 | SEA 1 - 2 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2023-12-12 | SEA 4 - 0 FLA | SEA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 19 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 1 | SEA | 10 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | FLA | 16 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 2 | SEA | 11 | 1 | 0.89 |
| 3 | FLA | 10 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 1 | 1.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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