Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-27 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

LAK: 67.2%

OTT: 32.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.74

OTT: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

C. Petersen

OTT

F. Gustavsson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	32	30	2	93.8%	2.16	0	0.16
OTT	F. Gustavsson	37	33	4	89.2%	4.78	1	0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	26	0	2.22
1	OTT	10	0	0.51
2	LAK	13	0	1.16
2	OTT	13	0	0.55
3	LAK	8	1	1.39
3	OTT	13	0	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8