Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2021-11-29 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 7 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

BUF: 43.0%

SEA: 57.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.19

SEA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

BUF

D. Tokarski

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	D. Tokarski	32	25	7	78.1%	3.10	2	-3.90
SEA	C. Driedger	36	32	4	88.9%	2.46	0	-1.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs SEA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	0	0.93
1	SEA	14	0	0.80
2	BUF	17	0	0.78
2	SEA	17	0	1.00
3	BUF	18	0	0.75
3	SEA	7	2	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 7 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3